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Week 11 2019 picks

My thoughts on the Week 11 NFL games worth considering against the spread.

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Christopher RuckelNovember 13, 20192019, picksComment
A Decision-Making Framework

Follow the process.

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On Decision-MakingChristopher RuckelNovember 12, 2019blog, process
Past Performance Is No Guarantee Of Future Results

Performance benchmark and comparison against other publicly available models.

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On MechanicsChristopher RuckelNovember 10, 2019performance, algorithm, blog
Week-to-Week Adjustments

Calibrating your model’s week-to-week adjustments is where the money is made.

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On MechanicsChristopher RuckelNovember 10, 2019adjustments, value, algorithm, blog
The Algorithm

A description of the algorithm types and a getting-started guide for novice handicappers.

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On MechanicsChristopher RuckelNovember 9, 2019algorithm, adjustments, Pythagorean, blog, start here
You Play To Win The Game

An explanation of the basic concepts of probabilistic modeling

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The FundamentalsChristopher RuckelNovember 9, 2019markets, modeling, win%, contests, blog, start here
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